Today I’m annoyed by low IQ low status white males in the Netherlands, who witness their environment go to shit and decide to stick their heads in the sand. This of course is typical low IQ low status white male behavior, they probably do the same thing whenever their wife “works overtime”.
So for all the LSWMs still capable of redemption, I’m going to explain how drought works, as opposed to how low IQ LSWMs think it works. The Dutch right wing media aimed at low IQ LSWMs tries to downplay what’s happening now and step one of course for sedating the low IQ LSWMs is to post some woman in a bikini.
But I want to focus on the text:
“De afgelopen 32 dagen werd dit land niet meer beroerd door hemels water, wat betekent dat we vandaag het record van meeste achtereenvolgende droge dagen evenaren. Een record dat we de komende tijd verder aanscherpen gezien er voorlopig nog geen regen in de planning staat.”
So we’ve had 32 days without any rain and it looks like we’re about to break a record for the most successive days without rain.
“We snappen dat dit wat onzekerheid kan opleveren, maar laten we vooral niet vergeten dat we dit jaar begonnen met een uitzonderlijk nat voorjaar. We waren zo op dreef dat we de op één na natste lente van deze eeuw noteerden en in maart nog wakker werden met een witte laag over delen van dit prachtige land. De recente droogte is in dat opzicht meer een balansmaandje.”
Here they argue we had a very wet spring and so the drought is fine. If you’re a low IQ low status white male, this makes perfect sense: Your son nearly drowned when he went swimming in the sea, so you don’t have to offer him anything to drink for the next two weeks.
But here’s how it actually works. Climate change increases moisture in the atmosphere. This should overall slightly increase the total amount of precipitation that falls out of the sky. The problem unfortunately is that:
- We also have more evaporation. As the summers get warmer, you have more loss of moisture during the summer from the soil.
- The rain becomes increasingly unequally distributed: We get more intense downpours, followed by longer dry periods.
And it’s number 2 I want to focus on now. An intense downpour sucks. When it rains, there’s a finite capacity of moisture that the soil can absorb. This is especially low if you have had recent rain. When you exceed the absorption capacity of the soil, the rain starts to travel downhill. If you have sufficient rainfall at once this rain will start to cause soil erosion, flushing fertile soils down into the water streams.
Normal rain episodes don’t cause soil erosion, because the soil can absorb it. It’s the brief moment of intense downpours, exceeding the absorption capacity, that cause erosion. And because the soil absorbs a lot of rain, the effect is non-linear: A 10% increase in precipitation extremes, causes a bigger than 10% increase in the amount of water that is not absorbed. This can then increases erosion beyond the soil’s natural regenerative capacity.
Once the topsoil begins to erode you enter a positive feedback loop, as you’re now left with less absorption capacity while you still get the same downpours. In other words, the soil you have left has just become more vulnerable. This is one reason why climate change is a big threat to our soils. Places that now have well-functioning healthy soils will lose them, as they’ll be flushed out into rivers that take the soil into the ocean. For the Netherlands soil erosion is fortunately not a major threat: We’re a small flat country in a river delta. For most of the world however, this will cause big trouble.
So let’s look at the rain we had in spring, shall we? Does this solve the problem of a dry summer?
The answer is no, because some vegetation requires steady rain, like the annual plants that grow flowers. Those plants depend on water in the surface layers of the soil, so they need regular rain. The species that depend on these plants thus also require steady rain. This includes the butterflies and the bees. Without enough nectar, they can’t sustain themselves.
Here you see 2022:
Here you see 2023:
As you can see, we’re now faced with two consecutive droughts during summer. This means that every species that was hit in 2022, is now hit again.
We’re now at the point where this becomes a self-sustaining problem: The flowers aren’t being pollinated, because the bees and butterflies are gone due to last year’s drought. But if they’re not being pollinated they don’t produce seed. And if they don’t produce seed, then there won’t be flowers for the insects to get nectar from.
There are other species that can’t cope with these summer droughts either. The dragonflies need water in June to lay their eggs. It doesn’t matter if you have a wet spring, because the streams in our nature reserves will be dry by June if you have a dry summer, meaning the dragonflies have no place to leave their eggs. Some places have seen a 95% decline in dragonflies in 25 years, with recent droughts as a major factor.
Finally, an overly wet spring can actually merely make these problems worse for some species. Insects don’t really fly during rain or hail, it forces them to shelter.
Everything in nature has evolved to adjust to certain environmental variables. If those variables have been relatively stable and predictable for a long time and now very suddenly and rapidly become unstable and unpredictable, that means things start going wrong. You can’t say “well we had a wet spring so who cares that we have a dry summer”, as that’s not how the environment functions.
Ours is not a society deserving of redemption. Most people have zero desire to preserve living space for non-human species. In fact, most of you will stick your heads in the sand and make excuses, as the unprecedented droughts happening in your own area are killing off the insects. And so I will say again, don’t blame me for what’s coming for your ilk. You’re all inviting it on yourselves.