“This is all wrong. I shouldn’t be up here, I should be mining coal, on the mountains of Appalachia. And yet y’all come to us low status white males, for guilt. How dare you! You have stolen my SUV and my grass-fed beef, with your fake elitist hoax. And yet, I’m one of the lucky ones. Patriots are losing their jobs, the keto diet is becoming unaffordable, entire economic sectors are collapsing, we are in the beginning of an economic depression and all you can talk about is your elitist green agenda and fairy tales of a zero carbon economy, how dare you!”
-Average low status white male on the Internet
In all seriousness, one of the problems I think we face as a society, that causes low status white males to stick their heads in the sand, is that climate change just isn’t being properly communicated to them.
Let’s start with something basic. Regardless of what happens, every decade from now on is going to be warmer than this decade. In the absolute best case scenario, the global warming you have right now, is what you’re stuck with for the rest of your life.
There is no scenario where we find out in 2030 that those heatwaves are pretty awful after all, listen to the libruls, overhaul the whole system overnight and go back to the sort of weather we have today. CO2 has a half life in the atmosphere of about 120 years.
Shutting down half the power plants, removing half the car fleet, culling half the cattle, wouldn’t mean global warming would be cut in half. It would be more akin to continuing to warm up the Earth, but now at half the speed.
It would surprise you how many people don’t understand this.
Then there’s another point hardly anyone seems to realize. Whenever you hear about keeping global warming under 1.5 degree celsius, or 2 degree celsius, that doesn’t mean YOU will experience 2 degree of warming. The average person reading this, will get almost double that amount.
Land warms twice as fast as the ocean, but land is just 30% of the Earth’s surface. And it’s the ocean that’s spared, not the continents.
Have a look at this:
Notice something? All those orange spots, are above land. Not above water.
But it gets worse.
There is about half a degree of warming hidden by toxic air pollution. Once you stop burning fossil fuels, that extra warming will reveal itself. In other words, if you want to make it, you’re supposed to get down to zero, BEFORE you notice the problem affecting you. Because if you notice the problem affecting you and stop burning fossil fuels overnight, you still get that extra half a degree that was hidden. And if LSWMs would pay attention, they’d realize the problem is now starting to interfere in everything.
And where is that additional warming being hidden? Well you guessed it: Typically in the exact places where most people live:
So could you just block the sun? You could, but that means you’re kicking the can down the hall. You would reduce the planet’s oxidizing capacity, that allows it to remove greenhouse gasses from the atmosphere. In other words, you would simply be borrowing from the future.
So what happens when all this warming ahead of us starts to reveal itself? Well there’s the other thing nobody bothers to tell the low status white males about. Warming triggers more warming. Throughout millions of years, warming was always caused by subtle changes in the course of the Earth (Milankovic cycles) triggering natural feedback loops.
But now we’re getting warming from the fossil carbon that hasn’t participated in the climate system in tens of millions of years, BUT WITH THOSE NATURAL FEEDBACK LOOPS STACKED ON TOP!
With enough warming the Siberian permafrost starts melting, so in the coming decades that starts releasing more greenhouse gasses, stored beneath the frozen soil.
Another feedback you’re dealing with is soil erosion. When it rains it now tends to fall in larger downpours, followed by longer dry periods. That’s what happens when the Earth warms up. Anyone older than thirty, who pays attention to his environment, should have noticed this pattern by now. Rain now is just different compared to when I was a kid.
Those downpours exceed the soil’s absorption capacity. This causes the rain to flood downhill, taking soil with it into the rivers. The effect this has is that the soil left on the hills, can absorb less water than before. So now it’s more vulnerable to further erosion. And a portion of the carbon stored in the eroded soil is then released into the atmosphere.
You’re dealing with the same problem for our tropical rain forests, like the Amazon. The droughts are causing them to release the carbon they have stored. So as the Amazon forest dies from global warming, the release of carbon from the dying trees causes more global warming. These are not “models” predicting doomsday. This is just stuff you can observe. You can measure that the Amazon began releasing more carbon than it sequesters.
And there are other feedback problems we start running into as well. There is up to half a degree Celsius of additional warming you can expect by 2100, because ocean acidification will impact phytoplankton. In the long run this just continues, as eventually the Earth darkens further and thus absorbs more energy because the Greenland ice sheet is lost. That’s part of what’s called Earth system sensitivity, which is estimated to be about twice as high as climate sensitivity.
If anything, the models tend to underestimate the severity of the problem. The drought in the Netherlands now is hitting us thirty years earlier than was expected.
One of those fun things about tropical weather is that it gets you tropical diseases too. We’re now getting mosquito born diseases like West Nile virus in the Netherlands. By 2030 we can expect to get dengue, yellow fever and zika-carrying mosquitoes in Europe too. Without cold winters, we’ll fail to kill of parasites in the soil and water too, which can migrate out of Africa to places that will no longer get freezing temperatures in winter.
But nobody really seems to bother explaining any of this to the low IQ low status white males. They read zerohedge.com, where they discover that the world didn’t end despite some clickbait headline suggesting it would and think to themselves “checkmate libruls”.
But wait… hasn’t CO2 been much higher in the past? Yes that’s right. But back then the sun was weaker, we received less radiation from the sun, which steadily increases over millions of years:
Back when the fossil carbon we’re now releasing was participating in the climate system, the sun was much weaker.
And of course, while I’m at it, you’re not a dinosaur, you’re a low status white male. You don’t eat tree leaves, you mostly eat poor animals stuck in cages who watch their babies torn away from them, because some steroid injecting grifter on Twitter told you carbohydrates give you AIDS. And those animals eat grain.
I don’t know if you realize this, but all the grains we eat, evolved to thrive in an atmosphere with low amounts of CO2. In high CO2 atmospheres, they lose their competitive advantage. For what it’s worth, the low status white male brain evolved under conditions of low CO2 in the atmosphere too. The sort of CO2 concentrations we’re approaching in the latter half of this century, resemble the sort of air you get in a crowded office. It prohibits you from thinking straight. Frankly, I wonder if all the low IQ low status white males comment on my blog from a small crowded office together, it would explain a lot.
The reality you’re dealing with is that we’re in the process of dramatically reducing this planet’s carrying capacity. There will no longer be room for eight billion people, as our soils will be eroded and flushed out into the ocean. And you could say to yourself, in typical LSWM fashion: “Well, sucks for the brown people.” But Europe isn’t exactly going to be paradise under these climatic conditions either.
And as I just explained, the situation will just get worse, as long as our civilization continues. Your best bet to address the problem would be massive widespread reforestation of the Earth’s surface. Not just because it sequesters the carbon we emitted (it can actually remove just a small fraction of it), but because it gives nature room to adjust. It would help reduce the droughts and it would help threatened species to recover. There are different ways to accomplish this:
-The population could transition to plant based diets overnight, freeing up massive space for natural vegetation. Most people clearly don’t want this, especially the LSWMs. They want their Keto diet that kills them.
Which brings us to another option:
-We could just have a sudden die-off. Maybe the Sarbecovirus will start doing Sarbecovirus sort of things.
This is what I am expecting.
I’m a simple man. I can’t believe the Earth will just be transformed into a nightmarish desert, without coral reefs and rain forests. My brain won’t allow me to believe that.
And so I’m expecting a wildcard.