I’ve been somewhat following Eugyppius discussion with Igor Chudov and the general Substack commentariat, in which he defends a mental model of hurried incompetence leading to embarassing (but not apocalyptic) failures, whereas Chudov and the randos in the comment section think there’s some sort of plot to kill everyone.
And Eugyppius makes some interesting observations about the logical fallacies people tend to succumb to, but I would want to point out that Eugyppius shares a big blind spot with most of the people he disagrees with, which happens to work against his model.
For Eugyppius and most of the rest of the substack crowd, elites are hysterically obsessed for no good reason at all, with a kind of global ecological crisis they mistakenly believe is going to dramatically reduce human carrying capacity in the years ahead. And by now you probably know me as that annoying dude who likes to point out that no, there is no WEF communist plot against Dutch farmers, we just really have a nitrogen crisis and no, CO2 is not just harmless plant food, it really causes problems when you have the fastest increase in CO2 seen in over 65 million years.
But I want you all to consider for a moment, that even if YOU think CO2 is harmless plant food and if it’s impossible for me by now to get this anchor out of your mental model of the world, powerful and intelligent people are still almost universally in disagreement with you: Consensus among successful, intelligent and powerful people is that we live in the Anthropocene, an era of converging series of sustainability crises that are going to radically transform the world and our lives in the years ahead.
That’s the blind spot in your mental model. And the blind spot in my mental model would be that I’m naturally biased against conspiracy theories, because I succumbed to a grand orchestrated global conspiracy model of the world as a teenager. Once you develop that view, you’ll be able to fit anything that happened into it, all the way up to the Sandy Hook school shooting (although I dropped it long before that point). And so once I abandoned this worldview, I became allergic to the idea of global conspiracies.
But I want to ask you all, to try applying Occam’s razor to this observation:
New-generation mRNA and adenovirus vectored vaccines against SARS-CoV-2 spike protein are endowed with immunogenic, inflammatory and immunomodulatory properties. Recently, BioNTech developed a noninflammatory tolerogenic mRNA vaccine (MOGm1Ψ) that induces in mice robust expansion of antigen-specific regulatory T (Treg) cells. The Pfizer/BioNTech BNT162b2 mRNA vaccine against SARS-CoV-2 is identical to MOGm1Ψ except for the lipid carrier, which differs for containing lipid nanoparticles rather than lipoplex. Here we report that vaccination with BNT162b2 led to an increase in the frequency and absolute count of CD4posCD25highCD127low putative Treg cells; in sharp contrast, vaccination with the adenovirus-vectored ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine led to a significant decrease of CD4posCD25high cells. This pilot study is very preliminary, suffers from important limitations and, frustratingly, very hardly can be refined in Italy because of the >90% vaccination coverage. Thus, the provocative perspective that BNT162b2 and MOGm1Ψ may share the capacity to promote expansion of Treg cells deserves confirmatory studies in other settings.
The paper on this “tolerogenic vaccine” was released in January 2021.
So we have basically two competing theories to consider:
- Somehow nobody in any of the regulatory agencies and nobody in any of the vaccine manufacturing companies realized it’s a bad idea to deploy a vaccine against a SARS virus that is identical for all practical purposes to a vaccine they were simultaneously developing that was intended to treat an autoimmune condition affecting the brain by provoking a tolerogenic anti-inflammatory response.
- They knew that they were giving people a vaccine that induces tolerance of SARS2.
Theory one requires a mysterious amount of incompetence, most importantly incompetence among the Pfizer team. Is there really nobody at Pfizer who noticed: “Wait a second, our tolerogenic vaccine is identical to our SARS2 vaccine?” I find this hard to believe.
It gets especially icky when you realize the Pfizer vaccine was ordered by the US department of Defense in 2020. When you read between the lines it seems to be a case where the companies produce what the government orders, rather than the companies deciding on this strange new method of vaccine production on their own initiative.
So I’m very inclined to say we must move on to theory number two, which very rapidly gets you into “that creepy old bald German guy wants to kill us all” territory.
Because if we explore theory number two, there are two possibilities:
- They genuinely think inducing tolerance to a SARS virus that 99.8% of people at the time survived infection from and for which mortality was very much dependent on age was a good idea to promote their overall state of health.
- They were not trying to promote people’s overall state of health.
In defense of the first possibility, SARS viruses are known to be neurovirulent. And still, that makes me think it’s a bad idea to induce an anti-inflammatory tolerogenic response, because you don’t want to keep viruses like this circulating forever if you want people to be healthy.
I’m going to be honest and say I’m leaning again to possibility number two. Maybe if everyone was planning for “Disease X”, maybe if Disease X was then revealed to be a Sarbecovirus that looks man-made and maybe if you were then fired from your job and not allowed to go to college unless you took the same vaccine they’re using to induce immune tolerance in rodents but now against that same Sarbecovirus, somewhere out there, people really do know what they’re doing.
The mental model I would propose, is a kind of gradual mass euthanasia that was planned long ago as a kind of backup option, should it prove impossible to radically reduce our ecological impact. The program would be focused on the Western population, but extend to any other nations they manage to sign up for it. By now most of the developing world has figured out something isn’t right with these mRNA shots, so the execution stage of the program has come to an end for all practical purposes.
What I expect follows in the years ahead of us is an endless series of “oh oops the virus is back and it’s worse now”, as people have their brains consumed by it and descend into premature dementia (Sarbecoviruses generally focus more on the brain than the lungs), accompanied by declining life expectancies that become hard to attribute to a sole cause. That is, global virus induced anesthesia, with your immune system not realizing something’s wrong because it was taught to tolerate this virus through a tolerance therapy. And because your immune system doesn’t go into hyperdrive in response to the brain-eating virus, you won’t have a bunch of pro-inflammatory cytokines in your blood that make you feel miserable and depressed.
The elites themselves, who are educated about the crisis and who go to Western modern art museums in their spare time (have you ever seen how depressing most of that stuff is?), would be perfectly willing to go along and sign up for this vaccine. It means you don’t suffer brain inflammation when you get constantly reinfected by SARS2 and it means you don’t have to stick around on planet Earth once the whole world turns into Aleppo, you’ll be dead or a vegetable by then. It means you go quietly and peacefully into that good night, constantly reinfected by a SARS virus that consumes your body without any serious opposition from your immune system.
Maybe there was a kind of secret conspiracy to inject themselves, their children, their butlers and their mistresses (definitely not their wives) with saline, but I highly doubt it. The captains want to go down with the ship. They would see it as their noble duty. If you think they’re escaping it then I’d recommend looking at Nazi Germany in april 1945: All the elites wanted to die, as they had failed at their objective. If our elites had fixing the ecological crisis as their objective, that means they now want to die.
The mysterious Swedish girl being invited everywhere to berate a bunch of billionaires would be their last failed effort to trigger some kind of global social transformation. But you really wanted your steak. And you couldn’t imagine life without your SUV. Or your cruise vacation. Or your air conditioning. And you thought it was all just a big hoax anyway. So you got SARS2.
What you need for this conspiracy is three steps:
1. You need some people to make a new SARS virus. Most of the people involved in producing it would think it’s to stop a future pandemic, that’s all they need to know.
2. You need to peddle lockdowns on social media, to take down the viral shield of established viruses, that prohibit new viruses from properly spreading themselves in the population.
3. After enough time you need to deploy a therapy that disables the natural immune response against this virus, so that people constantly get reinfected and continually give rise to new versions of the virus.
All you need for this is a few dozen people in the US in government and pharma, with biographies that scream “recruited by the CIA decades ago”. I won’t name anyone, but look at any of these American “biodefense” spooks who have spent twenty years “warning” about bioterrorism and setting up fancy scenarios where bin Laden releases genetically engineered supersmallpox and it’s pretty obvious these dudes are on the payroll.
And if you really want to put on your tinfoil hat, you might even want to consider that Trump became president without interference from the three letter agencies, because to have that guy as president endorse the vaccine would be your best shot to get the naturally distrusting American white conservative rural underclass to sign up for the needle in their arms, instead of descending into their basements with their King James Bible, shotgun, two year supply of stored food and their radio tuned to the Alex Jones show. Why was Trump allowed to become president? To get Joe Sixpack to trust something he would never have trusted otherwise.
It’s not like the CIA pretends CO2 is plant food, they’re not as stupid as most of you people are. It’s part of the job of these people, to anticipate shifts in the geopolitical landscape. These people are all well aware of the nightmare that lies ahead, a world of 9 billion people pushed out of the Holocene climatic optimum, on a planet with eroding soils and depleted minerals. Climate change is a natural security issue, all the US government agencies recognize and acknowledge it as such.
And none of these elements require a lot of people, for the simple reason most people don’t have to be in the know. Most of your useful idiots think they’re protecting everyone from a future virus, by making a new virus. Most of your useful idiots will think locking everyone up inside their homes in march 2020 will genuinely protect them from a virus that is already everywhere. And finally, most of your useful idiots will think this vaccine really works, even though it looks identical to an immune tolerance therapy.
I’m inclined to think “everything they do somehow makes it worse because they’re morons and supposed to be humiliated by forces beyond human control”. But I just can’t get myself to sign up for “they’re so stupid, they didn’t notice their SARS2 vaccine is identical to their tolerance inducing vaccine for autoimmune encephalitis”. For me that is a bridge too far. There must have been people at Pfizer who would have understood the implications.
And once you make that flip, suddenly everything starts to make sense, which tends to happen when you were mentally stuck in an increasingly outdated paradigm. Maybe Western nations were just trying to frame China for accidentally releasing this virus all along. Maybe that’s why we’re now stuck in a not-so-cold war with Russia and China all of a sudden, two nations that insist there are a bunch of bioweapon labs in Ukraine used against them.
Maybe the lockdowns were meant to take down our interfering viral population all along. Maybe the vaccines were not supposed to work all along. Maybe they knew they would not lead to herd immunity, maybe that was just a lie to get more people to sign up for them. Maybe everyone was planning around Disease X for a reason all along and the whole thing was kind of “wink wink” for the clever folks.
And when I say “clever folks”, I mean less than a hundred middle-aged white American men from bourgeois backgrounds with three letter agency connections, who have all dined with each other at some point during their lives. And after they’ve had one glass of wine too many, you can imagine one of these dudes honestly confessing to a guy he’s known for twenty years now: “Man, let me tell you. You know I was invited to that future global security threat risk assessment yaddayadda at the agency where they try to model the year 2030, right? Well I’ll be honest to you: If it means I’m going to have to ride a bicycle and eat fungal protein grown on corn-syrup for dinner for the rest of my life I think I’d rather just go out in a blaze of good ol’ black tar heroin. I tried that stuff once because my daughter kept insisting on it, it tastes like cardboard, I kid you not. The fungus stuff I mean, not the black tar heroin. I wish the Chinese and the Indians good luck, but I’m not signing up for any of it.”
And then the other one begins to laugh almost like a maniac, gravy dripping from his mouth, pieces of grassfed beef and goose liver dropping on the floor, before he says: “Well gee, you figured it out. Took you a while, but congratulations, now you can’t unsee it, hope you’re happy. I told you not to go to that presentation, but you just wouldn’t listen. Hahaha I remember when I first met you twenty years ago, crying because of some Congolese kid who lost his mother to Ebola, oh you sweet sweet summer child. You know what, forget I said anything, how’s your wife doing?”
It’s the equivalent of a creationist imagining “what if the Earth is not 6000 years old?”. Suddenly you have an answer to all the mysteries that kept you up at night. Suddenly everything falls into place. How did they build those pyramids in Egypt just after the great flood, where did they get all the manpower? Suddenly you have an answer. Why did they sign everyone up for an immune tolerance therapy against a Sarbecovirus? Suddenly I have an answer.
Maybe there’s a reason when you go to a modern art museum funded by a billionaire there’s nothing pleasant, just some waste material in a sterile white room, some ambient noises in the background and a comment that the ocean will soon have more tons of plastic than tons of fish. Maybe that’s the sort of observation a culture that wants to die makes about the world. At least it’s not a cultural narrative that’s going to get you very far as a society. It’s obvious ecological problems are not new, but none of the Americans in the 19th century who were cutting down redwood trees felt like making miserable art like we see today.
Doesn’t Western civilization feel like a kind of strange Jim Jones cult at times to you? Maybe it’s not just Kool-Aid they’re giving you.