At my age, women tend to really want children. It tends to be the main thing they seek out of a man. To me this just seems to be a terrible idea and I’d like to explain why.
Here you can see how much we weigh, compared to all the wild animals. Wild animals here means anything that lives on land and has a spine. So this includes elephants, zebra, crocodiles, rats, ostriches etc. We weigh about ten times as much as all these wild animals right now.
To keep us all fed, most of the other animals in this chart exist. They’re generally kept in small cages and bred to grow as fast as possible. They can’t be happy, because they can’t do the sort of stuff they like to do. Most of them can’t run and fly, they can’t build nests, they can’t play with each other and they can’t roll in the mud. When they have children, those children tend to be taken away from them.
The world’s population could choose to stop such behavior, but there’s no clear desire to stop it. Companies like Beyond Meat go bankrupt and the percentage of vegetarians in the United States seems to be in decline:
Worrying about low birth rates in Japan or the imminent demise of the white race, or the end of your own family, all just seems a little silly to me, when we take into consideration that our whole species weighs ten times as much as the wild animals.
For what it’s worth, men tend to be worse than women when it comes to reproductive delusions. A woman tends to make it her main priority for any children she has to be raised in safe and stable conditions, where they can be happy. Young men on the other hand can be persuaded to reproduce by a soyjak meme, because the meme suggests the blonde guy with the beard has a lot of children.
There are entire lineages of animals that have evolved over millions of years, that are about to be lost. We could lose the whole elephant order before the end of this century. They could become functionally extinct. That would be sixty million years of evolution, wiped out.
People tend to enjoy blaming sub-Saharan Africans for all of this. Overpopulation is real to them, but only in the sense of there being too many black people. This is just another self-serving delusion. In reality, the Africans are now simply experiencing the population explosion that Europeans and Asians already experienced in the past. If all Africans disappeared tomorrow, the world would still be overpopulated.
The African share of the world’s population reached its lowest point in 1900, they’re right now still catching up. The projections for 2100 are unlikely to be reached, they’ll run into hard ecological limits long before it reaches that point. African soils are very fragile and easily lost to erosion.
That brings me to my next point. I was already born into a pretty catastrophic situation. Over forty years, the world lost a third of its arable land. We’re forced to feed more and more people, with less and less land. We’re losing land to erosion and desertification, but also just to pollution. A lot of farmland in China is now so polluted that it can’t be used anymore to produce food.
Any child born today however would just get an even worse hand dealt. Our ecological overshoot after all is getting worse, not better. You run into sustainability problems in any direction you look. Whether it is the loss of fertile soils, the depletion of mineral veins from which we get our copper and other resources, or the loss of a stable climate, the problems we’re dealing with today will merely escalate further in the future.
The evidence is also quite clear that hardly anyone really takes the sustainability crisis seriously. Consider this: The chickens that we use for human nutrition together make up 70% of this planet’s bird population by weight. Because they’re young animals, genetically almost identical, bred to grow fast, kept together in small buildings, these birds breed very dangerous influenza viruses: The virus has no reason to keep its host alive as it’s very easy to find more hosts, it is in competition with the other viral particles to replicate as fast as possible.
Wild birds have to migrate from place to place over a long period, so they can’t transmit very severe influenza viruses. And these birds live much longer in the wild than our chickens do, so many will have immunity against influenza, forcing the virus to mutate to reinfect them. This helps select against hypervirulence.
Highly pathogenic influenza is a product of the poultry farms. The balance between poultry and wild birds is now so distorted, that we see the severe bird flu we created show up around the world, killing off wild animals of various species, like hundreds of seals in Germany recently.
But again, nobody really cares about this, not our politicians, not the general public. You have so distorted the distribution of life on Earth, that you’re breeding severe influenza viruses that just randomly kill off populations of wild animals, but it’s an afterthought that barely reaches the newspapers. And hardly any news mentions why we now have these severe bird flu strains showing up everywhere. The industry has been really successful in keeping the public in the dark about that.
The idea of not eating chickens and not eating their eggs is just unthinkable to the population. It’s also politically impossible. So we continue breeding these viruses that kill off our wild birds, infect animals like foxes that eat those birds and perhaps eventually end up infecting our own species too, or that will recombine in pigs to create a new virus like we saw with the swine flu.
If we can’t get ourselves to change the things we eat, so that our enslaved animals don’t weigh fourteen times as much as the wild animals on land and start breeding deadly viruses that kill the few surviving wild animals, then I don’t see how we’re going to solve any of the other difficult problems we’re going to have to deal with somehow. In fact, I expect that the energy transition will probably end up like the dietary transition in the United States: First it stalls and then it fades away again.
People tend to feel an obligation to have children to perpetuate their society, but this is not fair to the children themselves. Governments urge people to have children, realizing their social safety net depends on maintaining births. But imagine being brought into existence, because your society has a lot of people above the retirement age who need to be taken care of. How is that different from slavery? You’re literally just created to take care of the elderly.
When governments have to start throwing money at couples to get them to reproduce, it’s fair to expect that the children who are born from such relationships generally don’t have a very great deal handed to them. It means to be born at the end of a pyramid scheme.
The decision of most South Koreans and Japanese not to reproduce is a wise one. The average woman in South Korea now has 0.7 children. South Koreans are some of the most intelligent people on the planet, they have clearly figured out that the current situation does not allow any children they may have to live happy lives.
I wish Dutch women were smart enough to figure this out as well, but alas. They live like ants in tiny concrete cubes stacked on top of each other, in cities beneath sea level, but still they have that urge to fill this country with more people. Dutch people are just not very smart.
You can see this for example, in the conflict over nitrogen pollution. The Netherlands has too many pigs and cows, so all their manure ends up polluting our soils. We have 11 million pigs. There are about 10,000 wild hogs in the country. So for every wild pig, there are a thousand domesticated pig kept in cages.
This country is the second biggest food exporter in the world and the EU’s biggest meat exporter. You would expect that people realize this causes problems, considering we have such a small country. But they don’t want to see it. They want to blame “communism” or some globalist plot, rather than the simple fact that we have 11 million pigs in cages living next to wildlife reserves.
When the government tries to solve the problem, you witness a political revolution, as people vote to continue this madness. As a result you see that the problem just continues: We continue poisoning our groundwater and our soils.
Part of the problem of course is that people don’t really decide whether to reproduce or not based on a pie chart. It’s something instinctive. These instincts don’t suddenly die once we reach a million humans, or a billion humans, or weigh ten times as much as all other vertebrates put together.
These instincts can sometimes be reduced when we’re under severe stress, but as a domesticated animal, the instinct is much less easily suppressed in us than in many wild animals like cheetahs and pandas. The cheetahs need to run long distances together, or they don’t want to reproduce. It’s pretty hard to get many wild species to reproduce in captivity. The animals we eat are an exception. We ourselves, are another exception.
The year is now 2023. The earliest you’d have a child is 2024, meaning the child would be 76 by 2100. By 2100, at four degree of global warming, the world looks a bit like this:
I can guarantee you that somewhere between “the African elephants died out” and “millions of Indians are fleeing heatwaves too hot for human survival”, your child would become pretty miserable. And worse, it would probably just end in death. Do you expect that 8 billion people will just huddle together in peace and safety together in New Zealand and Europe?
This is not what people enjoy hearing, but this conversation is kind of long overdue. Entire towns are wiped out by wildfires, the wildfires are getting so big they’re now creating their own weather and the Southern US are hit by multiple major hurricanes every season now. Go look for yourself how many major hurricanes they got a century ago compared to today.
The warmest eight years on record, are the past eight years. It’s not just suddenly going to reverse itself. Sadly, humanity spent the years we should have been pressing the emergency breaks, debating whether this is even really a problem or not. The oil industry knew since the 50’s this is a problem, but paid their scientists to keep their mouths shut.
We’re well beyond the point where you’re supposed to come to terms with the predicament we face. The South Koreans and Japanese seem further along in that process, hence why they don’t have children. But Joe Sixpack from bumfuck nowhere, USA hasn’t figured it out yet, that the party is about to come to an end: “No, I’m pretty sure the global elite just want to kill us all because they’re evil.”
And so by 2055, when the Pakistani and Indian conflict over the drying rivers devolves into a nuclear war, Joe Sixpack Jr will sit in a nuclear bunker with Sally Soccerdaughter and she will ask him: “How come you were born?” “Well Sally, my father was a low IQ low status white male with a bit of autism, who listened to the Alex Jones show, browsed Zerohedge and began to believe that elites just want to kill us all for no good reason whatsoever and a real alpha male Chad rebels against them by weaponizing his wife’s vagina.”
And I will be honest, I don’t blame the low IQ low status white males. The problem was never properly explained to them. The right wing think tanks funded by fossil fuel billionaires proved much better at communicating to them, than the people studying our atmosphere. If it was my job to explain it to them, I would say:
HEY LISTEN UP DIPSHITS
TURN OFF THE ALEX JONES SHOW FOR A SECOND. IF YOU WANT TO HEAR ABOUT A GLOBAL CONSPIRACY, IT’S NOT THE SANDY HOOK SHOOTING OR CHEMICALS IN THE WATER THAT TURN THE FROGS GAY.
LISTEN TO THIS. ALL THE OIL COMPANIES WERE WARNED IN 1959 THAT THEY’RE MAKING THE PLANET UNINHABITABLE, BY CHANGING OUR ATMOSPHERE.
SO WHAT THESE GUYS DID WAS HIRE A BUNCH OF SCIENTISTS, PUT THEM ON THEIR PAYROLL AND STUDIED WHAT WAS GOING TO HAPPEN.
THAT’S HOW THEY ENDED UP PRODUCING FANCY GRAPHS LIKE THIS:
SO THEY FIGURED OUT THAT UNTIL ABOUT THE 2000’S, THEY COULD JUST DENY THE PROBLEM WAS REAL, THEY COULD JUST FEIGN IGNORANCE FOR THE COMING DECADES.
AND THEY PROHIBITED THOSE DUDES FROM SPEAKING ABOUT WHAT THEY WERE SECRETLY STUDYING. SO THEY COULD NOT WARN THE PUBLIC.
THEY BOUGHT THEMSELVES A HEAD START, BY FIGURING OUT WHAT WOULD HAPPEN BEFORE ANYONE ELSE WAS PAYING ATTENTION TO IT.
AND THEN THEY USED THEIR HEAD START, TO FUND A PROPAGANDA CAMPAIGN.
THAT CAMPAIGN WAS DESIGNED TO CONVINCE YOU, THE LOW IQ LOW STATUS WHITE MALES, THAT THIS IS ALL A BIG HOAX, INTENDED TO RAISE TAXES ON LOW IQ LOW STATUS WHITE MALES AND SEND YOUR WIVES ON VACATION TO GAMBIA.
AND THEY SUCCEEDED. BECAUSE YOU HAVE A LOW IQ.
That’s what I would say. But that’s not professional, so then you don’t get invited to the conferences and the cocktail parties anymore. You can kind of see that with Greta Thunberg. After the “how dare you” speech, they didn’t really invite her anymore. Now she is just back to blocking traffic in Stockholm, angering low IQ low status Swedish males.
The face of respectable climate science is Michael Mann, a guy who gets basically nothing done. He’s going to sit in his bunker by 2050, claiming that we can still solve this. The guy who succeeded at warning the world was James Hansen. But he was up against massive vast interests.
When you try to explain to a low IQ low status white male that this is a real problem, you have to cut through a thick forest of propaganda laid out in his mind, by the likes of Alex Jones, every Republican, but also just think tanks and propaganda institutes like the Heartland Institute, that come up with really shoddy propaganda like this:
See, sometimes the propaganda is so poor, so obvious, so lacking in any subtlety, that even the dumbest of low IQ low status white males must be able to realize that someone is trying to manipulate them. If you’re driving to work and you see this, surely you must think to yourself: “Wait, why is someone paying to compare global warming believers to the Unabomber?”
But the thing is, they have vast amounts of propaganda that is a thousand times subtler than this. They fund scientists, who insist it’s all caused by the sun. Do you think these oil companies really believe that? Of course they don’t, they knew this in the 70’s. They’re just trying to keep this a “scientific controversy”. And then you listen to the low IQ low status white male show, to hear some fat Texas redneck insist that it’s caused by the sun, as his spit flies through the room in all directions.
These companies generally no longer bother funding denial of the problem by now. The PR damage from being caught funding denial of the problem outweighs any benefits for them. After all, the fossil fuel industry also depends on trillions of subsidies. Anger elected government officials too much and they’re not allowed to suck on the subsidy teat anymore.
But importantly, they don’t have to fund denial of the problem anymore, because they succeeded at making this right wing low IQ low status white male orthodoxy. The idea that you can just change our atmosphere without causing trouble is now one of the central pillars of the low IQ low status white male outlook on life. At the Republican debates, none would publicly acknowledge the problem is real, because the electorate just doesn’t want to hear it. If Jordan Peterson, Alex Jones or some other LSWM guru said this problem is real, his career would be over.
That’s how successful the propaganda has been.
But it also means that we now have to reap what we’ve sown. There won’t be room for billions of people on this planet anymore. Entire ecosystems are just going to be consumed by flames and disappear during the lifetime of today’s children.
The most dignified thing to do now, is to at least honestly accept that we failed. It’s a severe cruelty, to bring children into the world who would have to inherit this escalating catastrophe of a planet that is losing its life support systems.