Too many people are dying and it’s starting to worry the demographers

For a while now, we’ve had a mysterious jump in excess mortality in Europe. At first, nobody really paid any attention to it, with the exception of a handful of “right-wing populist anti-science conspiracy theorists”. At this point however, experts whose job it is to study trends like this are beginning to notice it too.

You can see for yourself the excess mortality for much of the EU here. Few people realize that in 2021 we have had as much excess mortality, as we did in 2020. The difference is that the age profile has shifted: Whereas most of the excess mortality was in elderly people in 2020, in 2021 it’s increasingly showing up among younger people. The excess mortality has a peculiar characteristic, in that it starts showing up later in younger age groups, with the exception of children, in whom no excess mortality is observed.

For the 29 participating countries as a whole, we have 4000 excess deaths among people aged 15-44. These deaths are hard to explain, because young people normally don’t die from COVID-19. Just 0.9% of COVID-19 deaths in the Netherlands are people under the age of fifty. The curve of excess mortality in this age category also doesn’t fit COVID-19. This is a seasonal virus that disappear in the summer, but the excess deaths among young people mainly show up during the summer.

The problem with all of this excess mortality is that it doesn’t seem to be getting better, it seems to be getting worse. It’s now getting so bad, that even my own comparatively small country of 17 million, the Netherlands, is beginning to see the signal in its statistics. The Dutch demographic agency, the CBS, has reported that September was a month with significant excess mortality.

What we notice in the most recent week, is that the mortality is most strongly elevated among the younger age groups. Last week we had 300 more deaths than we’re supposed to have. Twenty of those are COVID-19 deaths, the rest are mysterious and unexplained. You can see a graph here, dividing the mortality rate between institutionalized people (mostly elderly nursing home residents) and the rest of the population:

What you can see here is that in the general population (green), excess mortality really jumped up above normal. In fact, among the general population, we’re now beginning to see the kind of excess mortality levels that led to people locking themselves up in their homes and wearing masks just a year ago. But now nobody is worried, because they have been vaccinated and it’s not due to the virus.

We can also look at excess mortality by age category. The numbers for young age groups won’t reach statistical significance because you normally have fewer young deaths anyway, but the trend is that the increase is most prominently visible among the younger age groups.

Excess mortality, once you subtract the COVID deaths that are still occuring (despite almost every Western European nation having vaccinated 90% of its at-risk demographic) is running at about 10% above normal throughout Europe. But, the important thing to notice is that the trend is getting worse, as you could see in the graph I showed above.

The British have the habit of publishing unusually detailed mortality statistics, so let’s look at those. Here‘s the excess mortality for England:

You can see that people are dying in excess and it’s not improving. This is the general trend across the EU. Here is the Euromomo graph for deaths in all ages:

Dark blue is 2020, light blue is 2021. You need to ignore the dip in the last week, because that’s a reporting issue: Some countries are late with reporting all deaths, so the last week in this graph almost always shows a dip that’s later corrected. The trend is clear however: An accelerating increase in deaths.

So here’s the question to be asking ourselves: What’s causing the excess deaths? For this we can again turn to England. The excess deaths are found in the following categories: Ischemic heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, heart failure, other circulatory disorders and a small number of chronic respiratory disease cases. In other words, we’re seeing mainly cardiovascular problems. Almost all of the excess deaths can be attributed to this.

So what could be the cause? Well, the canary in the coalmine are unfortunately our own teenage boys. In the period when the COVID-19 vaccines began to be administered to teenage boys in England, deaths among teenage boys were up by 63%, compared to 16% in teenage girls.

And that gives us a clue. Teenage boys have a strong immune response to the vaccines, but they also have a low body fat percentage, much lower than girls of their age. The effect this has is that almost all of the myocarditis cases among teenagers who receive the vaccines are seen among the boys. And so, when we start giving these vaccines to teenagers and we see a sudden jump in mortality among boys, that should be reason for concern. In fact, it should have been enough to halt the whole vaccination program at once. That’s how they responded in Scandinavia, where they decided to stop giving the Moderna vaccine to teenagers.

In England, the general trend we see is that mortality is more strongly elevated among younger age categories. The most recent week saw 25% increased mortality in people aged 25-49, compared to just 6% in those above 85. The other trend we see is that when we subtract the COVID-19 deaths, which we can assume occur in the hospital or in nursing homes, almost all the excess death is at home.

So, the general pattern we see is as following: People are dying in excess. The trend is most clearly visible among younger age groups. The trend is also generally getting worse. Most of these people are dying at home, so the deaths are generally unexpected. The deaths are mainly from cardiovascular conditions.

So the question to ask ourselves is: What has changed? It appears plausible that the excess mortality seen throughout Europe is caused by the vaccination campaign against COVID-19. After all, the excess deaths that we witness, fit the kind of characteristics of the deaths we’ve seen from the vaccine: They are typically cases of heart failure or strokes, they occur suddenly in otherwise healthy people and they’re not really age-linked the way most illness is.

So what could be the cause? The honest answer is that we don’t really know for sure. It seems highly likely that dozens of teenage boys in England have died from this vaccine, because that’s where the statistical evidence is most clear. These are boys who had no pre-existing conditions and would have had no real risk from COVID-19. Or to put it very bluntly: The decision to vaccinate teenage boys in England, is a decision that killed dozens of people.

However, I wish to present to you what I consider to be the most likely issue we are currently dealing with. I fear that the excess mortality is entirely caused by the vaccine and is going to grow worse in the months ahead. Specifically, the main problem we deal with is that almost the entire spike protein displays strong similarity to proteins that our own body produces.

This makes perfect sense, if you consider that viruses will try to evolve to resemble our own proteome. It’s much harder for the immune system to attack a virus, when it has to worry about collateral damage: If every antibody you can produce against a virus is an antibody that also binds to your own proteins, you’ll have to be careful with producing antibodies. We see for example, that most people who are infected with this virus never produce measurable antibodies and those who do lose them quite rapidly.

On the other hand, we inject people with mRNA that forces our cells to produce the spike protein, we do this twice. This forces our body to produce a strong antibody response against the spike protein. The body doesn’t like to have viruses show up in its bloodstream, so when it encounters its own endothelial cells lining its blood vessels expressing an alien protein it has never before seen, it reacts very strongly.

It’s this strong reaction that has me worried. Almost every antibody your body can produce against the spike protein, is an antibody that can also react against your own proteins. We now believe for example, that the body produces an antibody that also reacts against thrombopoietin, the protein your body uses to regulate the production of platalets, which serve to stop bleeding.

This happens in severe COVID-19 cases, it also happens in a number of vaccinated people. You can think of the following analogy. Your immune system has a big arsenal with a variety of different weapons. It prefers to use precision tools for mild infections. When it finds itself overwhelmed with alien biological material, it grabs its hand grenades and its rocket launcher. Collateral damage increases, but when faced with an abundance of enemies, it has no other choice.

As humans, we didn’t like the fact that our immune system uses precision tools against this virus, because it meant that people whose precision tools had grown ineffective from age, obesity and diabetes were not well equipped to fight this virus, so we sought to trigger a very strong immune response. Effectively we taught the immune system to keep its rocket launcher and its hand grenades on standby, waiting for any sign of this virus. And then in wanders your humble thrombopoietin, eager to make some platelets, only to be blown to bits.

That’s a very colorful metaphor, to illustrate the not so colorful reality that healthy young people are dropping dead from massive strokes. We’ve had numerous reports, of women reporting menstrual changes after receiving these vaccines. If you have sudden increase in menstrual bleeding after receiving this vaccine, a very good candidate for what’s going on would be Thrombocytopenia. You should not ignore these problems, because it’s not normal and not something that will just “go away”. For men, it’s much harder to recognize the symptoms.

The problem we’re dealing with is that your body isn’t just releasing these antibodies into your blood for a few months after getting vaccinated. Rather, this is the immune response your body was taught: Focus on producing massive amounts of antibodies against the Wuhan version of the spike protein. Some of those antibodies no longer work and merely make the disease worse, because of the changes in the Delta strain. This leaves your body with a handful of other antibodies that still neutralize the virus.

But that’s the worrisome part: Whenever you encounter this virus again and have a breakthrough infection, your immune system is going to start producing large amounts of antibodies against the spike protein, some of which also happen to bind some of your own proteins. All the evidence we have right now, suggests that vaccinated people are actually more likely to get infected with this virus, than unvaccinated people. The reason for that is simple: Your body was taught a poor and ineffective immune response.

So, if you follow and agree with the logic I laid out here, then the next problem you have to take into consideration is that this winter, vaccinated people are almost certainly going to be re-exposed to this virus, leading to another spike in antibodies that cross-react with their own proteins. What I thus expect is that the rise in excess mortality among old people from the virus, will be joined by an increase in excess mortality from the antibodies people will produce against this virus.

So, what should you do, if you were unlucky enough to get vaccinated? Well, the jump in antibodies should only happen if you genuinely have a breakthrough infection. We know that vitamin D strengthens the innate immune response and reduces serum antibody levels in a number of autoimmune conditions. It seems like a smart decision to maintain high levels of vitamin D this winter.

In the long run, I expect that we will want people to get rid of this harmful adaptive immune response altogether. In the Western world, autoimmune conditions are rarely effectively treated, but in Japan, a common response is leukocytapheresis: Autoimmune conditions like inflammatory bowel disease are treated by removing a portion of your white blood cells from your blood. Harmful ones are removed along with benign ones, but if the proportion of harmful ones is lower among your newly maturing white blood cells, your condition should improve.

Psychedelics are also known for their strong anti-inflammatory effects. DMT and 5-meo-DMT in particular have been shown to strongly suppress the adaptive immune response. A number of scientists believe that psychedelics can play an important role in treating autoimmune conditions.

The autoimmune problems we’re witnessing are unlikely to be the only problem we’ll face with this vaccine. We’ve never before had a vaccine against corona viruses, because the vaccines generally made a subsequent exposure worse, due to antibody dependent enhancement. Similarly, by triggering such a strong adaptive immune response, evidence suggests that the innate immune response to many pathogens is weakened. Your body has limited immunological capacity, because it simply can’t fill your blood stream with endless numbers of white blood cells. An expansion in one type of white blood cell will tend to come at the cost of other types.

A brief way of summarizing the problem I see with this vaccine would be to point out that injecting people with mRNA and genetically manipulated chimpanzee viruses, that subsequently enter your own cells and begin producing a toxic protein that will be expressed on the surface of your cells, is the sort of unprecedented experiment that should not be administered to hundreds of millions of people simultaneously, before we have had a chance to study the long-term effects.


  1. Very nicely stated and referenced. You don’t need to resort to just logic, but listen to Dr. Richard Fleming, MD, PhD, JD, who has studied spike proteins in his research since the 1990’s and explains beginning at the 2:14:30 mark how the harm is done and will continue to worsen.
    The first part of his talk begins at roughly the 1:25:30 mark and explains how these mRNA gene technologies work, as well as the misleading statistics that were used in the media propaganda to promote the gene technology injections to the public, fooling even medical doctors who are too busy to delve into the details of the statistical analyses.

  2. Do you think all of the vaccines approved and given in Europe have this effect? Of Pfizer, Moderna, Astrazeneca, which do you think is responsible for this? All three?

    The UK does not have the same vaccination program as the Netherlands.

    • I don’t think it matters much, although it seems self-evident and validated by the statistics that when you inject more mRNA into someone, the risk of harm grows worse. Hence the Moderna one causes more harm than the Pfizer one.

      I haven’t looked much into the adenovirus vector ones yet, but there we seem to have the additional wildcard that the immune system doesn’t seem to enjoy having chimpanzee adenoviruses show up in the bloodstream.

      If we’re going to have safe and effective vaccines (I’m not yet convinced it’s possible), my money would be on live attenuated vaccines administered intranasally or oral vaccines containing the nucleocapsid as well the spike protein. I also doubt we would want to bother vaccinating healthy people without pre-existing conditions under the age of fifty.

      • There are NO safe and effective vaccines.

        All Covid vaccines are a kill shot, designed to destroy the immunity with spike proteins.

        The Davos crowd are not taking the Vaxx, they are taking a saline injection to fool the sheep.

        They want us dead, and unless you can wrap your mind around that reality, you will not make it.

  3. >>All the evidence we have right now, suggests that vaccinated people are actually more likely to get infected with this virus, than unvaccinated people

    We are looking at very different evidence. I note this is uncited;)

    • See the most recent data out of the UK Public Health Security Agency (formerly Public Health England, PHE):

      Table 2 has the comparison between vaccinated and unvaccinated (in rates per 100k); for all the age ranges greater than 30 years the vaccinated now have a greater risk of infection vis a vis unvaccinated. This is a situation that has been worsening over the months; first it was just the elderly, then the elderly and middle-aged, and now it has reached even young adults. This mirrors the rollout of the vaccines, which were generally administered to oldest first. Note that this does not hold true everywhere, and for all points in time; the vaccines still have had effectiveness in the period soon after vaccination, and even now the vaccines are favored at keeping a person out of the hospital or ending up dead. But even that may change with additional booster rollout.

  4. >>All the evidence we have right now, suggests that vaccinated people are actually more likely to get infected with this virus, than unvaccinated people.
    I am…not sure what you’re looking at to see this. Could you expand?

      • That pdf says:
        With the delta variant, vaccine effectiveness against infection has been estimated at around 65% with Vaxzevria and 80% with Comirnaty.

        • Yeah, but I referred you to table 2, where you can see case rates per 100k by vaccination category and age category in the past few weeks. Effectiveness against infection only seems to last for a few months at most.

          • Which is consistent with the leaked document from the US department of defense, where a subcontractor tasked with tracking vaccine effectiveness also noticed diminishing utility.

          • Jim, there’s a difference between diminishing utility of the vaccine, which would simply reset you to the same level as the unvaccinated, and increased chance of catching COVID, which means something worse is happening.

            The Vaccine Surveillance Report linked above clearly shows an increased risk of contracting COVID, which means that once the utility has disappeared you are left in a situation that is worse than when you began and you are now more likely to contract COVID.

            The data on this is pretty clear, now, and those Surveillance Reports have included worsening results for the vaccinated since they started publishing that data in Week 36.

            One question I have is – does this just increase your chances of contracting COVID or is there a more widespread hit to your general immune system?

    • Everybody will die some day.
      Some of us seem determined to make it sooner though (the vaccinated). How much sooner? who can say. But I doubt these vaccines improve all cause mortality for anyone under 65 unless they are very very fat.

  5. I have been looking into the Cuban vaccines, they are apparently going to try vaccinating the under 18 segment of the population. The country has done some impressive medical treatments in the past. Have you be heard anything about them? I was debating holding out for that one but I can’t leave the country now unless I swim or sail…not the worst idea.

  6. Hi, what are your thoughts on the Novavax vaccine? Will this vaccine cause the issues described in your superb article?

    • Hi,

      Honestly, to me it seems to share most of the flaws the other currently available vaccines have. It’s still trying to trigger an immune response solely against the spike protein, when in a natural infection most of your T-cells respond to the membrane and nucleocapsid protein.

  7. “If you have sudden increase in menstrual bleeding after receiving this vaccine, a very good candidate for what’s going on would be Thrombocytopenia. You should not ignore these problems, because it’s not normal and not something that will just “go away”.”

    What do you suggest against these problems?

  8. Thank you for this article. I don’t understand this statement: “We see for example, that most people who are infected with this virus never produce measurable antibodies and those who do lose them quite rapidly.” This seems to dispute the studies that say that people infected by COVID have better and longer lasting immune response than from the vaccine.

    • Mitch, IMO it is a PCR testing problem.
      JAMA released an study based on collecting over 1.4 million blood samples from a catchment area covering 74% of the US population. The results showed 20.2% of the samples were seroconverted for the N-protein indicating a natural infection. It also showed 63.1% were seroconverted for only the S-protein indication an injection of the vaccine.

      20.2% of the US population is a little over 67 million people.

      CDC claims the for every positive PCR test there are 4 – 6x addition positives where tests weren’t run. 4 X 67 = 268 million; 6 x 67 = 402 million. That data makes no sense. However, through may of 2021 there were 40 million positive PCR tests and if we instead assume the seropositive for the N protein is correct and the 40 million for the PCR is the nonsense number then 67/4 = 17 and 67/6 = 11. Then the correct number of positive PCR tests is between 11 and 17 million. And those numbers are consistent with the claims the people didn’t seroconvert. They didn’t seroconvert because they never had Covid-19.

    • I believe that natural infection stimulates b cells and T cells from bone marrow these irradicate the virus then they are not made anymore but the ability to make them again is still there and to tackle any variants. The antibodies in the blood probably do not work on this virus all that well which is worrying because these are the antibodies that the vaccines induce.

  9. “As humans, we didn’t like the fact that our immune system uses precision tools against this virus, because it meant that people whose precision tools had grown ineffective from age, obesity and diabetes were not well equipped to fight this virus, so we sought to trigger a very strong immune response.”

    That’s a very good way of formulating the ‘man on the street’ take on the virus. We have a mechanism to deal with novel threats, namely an immune system. There’s even a whole literature on the social determinants of health, the wholistic nature of health, the importance of exercise to immune responses, etc.

    However, most westerns (particularly boomers) suffer from the twin illnesses of narcissism and obesity. They are in such a precarious position, having lived a lifestyle that is not well suited for their biology, that they are grasping for something that offers better protection than their own immune systems.

    This is, of course, hubris on a grand scale. The idea that a group of scientists working without proper clinical trials, control groups, etc, can provide a vaccine that outperforms the defense mechanisms of the immune system is complete nonsense. All that literature on the social determinants of health (etc) has been thrown out with a monomaniacal focus on vaccines. Easier to allow the kids to be jabbed with a dangerous experimental drug than it is to hit the treadmill and lose 80 pounds.

    Of course, that’s a relatively charitable take on the whole vaccine bit. I suspect there is more to the story, and not just greedy pharma companies chasing profit.

    • Thank you Jim for your input. I concur with you; bottom line there is a LOT of them with more sewn into the seams. “Nothing is as it seems”.

  10. Worrying because I have been questioning this sort of thing and have been treated like some sort of pariah my intuition just told me something was not right about this whole thing it seemed reckless to vaccinate the whole population with an experimental vaccine not tested in the long term. That alone was enough for me to think this vaccine is not for me.

  11. Thank you for this comprehensive article.
    Have you done, or plan to do, something similar with Sweden?
    I have seen reports saying most of the Covid hospitalisations are double-vaxxed.

  12. It seems then that China’s Sinovac and Sinopharm vaccines are the safest option, with none of the side effects caused by the Mrna vaccines. They use traditional deactivated virus to stimulate your body’s T and B cell immune response, similar to actually contracting covid19

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The patients in the mental ward have had their daily dose of xanax and calmed down it seems, so most of your comments should be automatically posted again. Try not to annoy me with your low IQ low status white male theories about the Nazi gas chambers being fake or CO2 being harmless plant food and we can all get along. Have fun!

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